Wednesday, February 9, 2011

Supply Chain Planning

Supply chain management revolves around following processes:

Let’s understand what these terms mean:
  • Demand planning:
    • Forecasting
  • Demand collaboration:
    • Collaborative resolution process to determine consensus forecasts.
  • Meeting orders:
    • When can one promise a product to a customer, taking into account lead times and constraints
  • Strategic network optimization:
    • What plants and DC's should serve what markets for what products -- monthly – yearly
  • Production and distribution planning:
    • Coordinate the actual production and distribution plans for a whole enterprise - daily
  • Production scheduling:
    • For a single location create a feasible production schedule -- minute by minute
  • Transportation planning:
    • For multiple supply, manufacturer, distributor and warehousing points in a network
  • Transportation execution:
    • Enactment of long-term plans on a per shipment basis, typically performed by forwarders
  • Tracking and Measuring:
    • An ever increasing aspect of supply chain management designed to highlight potential against the plan and possible process improvements
  • Cost reduction and performance management:
    • Diagnosis of the potential and the indicators, the organization and planning strategy, masters dysfunctions in real time, evaluation and accounting reporting, evaluation and reporting quality
Planning Matrix – Typical SILO Approach
  • Sales develops the forecast
  • Finance develops the budget
  • Sale alters the forecast to meet the budget
  • Operations ignores the forecast and builds based on current orders
Planning Matrix – Forecast Approach

Implications of a Typical Forecasting Process
  • The reoccurring process of using statistics along with business knowledge to identify how much product to produce in a certain period to meet future demand:
  • Sales changes their plans to match the budget and therefore requests the wrong products at the wrong time
  • To meet the budget, unsustainable sales are made to impact the future
  • At some point, the process collapses and lowers initially planned sales
  • As a result, the overall process fails
Statistical Forecasting
The reoccurring process of using statistics along with business knowledge to identify how much product to produce in a certain period to meet future demand:
  • Identify Trends
  • Demand
  • Include Seasonal and Promotional Activities
  • Compare forecast with Strategic and Operational Plans
Getting Started
  • Set clear and obtainable goals
    • Unreasonable goals will lead to failure
  • Get management’s buy-in
    • Experience and knowledge supplied by management provides the fuel for any project
    • Test the waters and show initial ROI
  • Don’t forget your end-users
  •  Team-members must understand the “Why” behind the works
Demand Planning
  • Understand Demand
    • Analyze demand at end point of supply chain
      • Develop forecasts and manage supply chain based on data captured at the point of consumption instead of generalized or historical data. Create processes that enable analysis of data and revise forecasts as frequently as business requires.
    • Capture actual demand accurately and reliably
      • Use data collected at the point of sale to develop production forecasts that reflect what the market is seeking
  • Plan for Demand
    • Align your supply chain infrastructure based on demand
      • Base your long-term investments in facilities, materials, labor and supply chain partnerships on the source and composition of your demand
    • Manage inventory levels based on demand
      • Establish inventory policies based on a thorough analysis of demand trends. Take a strategic approach to supply chain relationships to assure the most cost-effective compliance with inventory policies
  • Respond to Demand
    • Directly link financial goals and production planning
      • o   Take a strategic approach to Sales and Operations Planning (S&OP) that extends its focus beyond aligning demand, supply and financial metrics. Directly apply the demand and supply data revealed by ongoing S&OP updates to drive better manufacturing operational efficiency.
    • Leverage event management to drive response to customer demands and planning
      • Implement real-time event management to detect unexpected changes in demand and supply as they happen so you can make adjustments in manufacturing and the supply chain in hours or days rather than weeks or months.
    • Plan production based on actual demand
      • Base production planning as close to actual demand as possible. Avoid production just to fill up available capacity. Schedule complex production operations in real-time or near realtime to respond quickly to new events such as last-minute customer orders, breakdowns or raw materials shortages
  •  Shape Demand
    • Develop demand-driven products
      • Adopt a formalized process for connecting engineering and the supply chain so demand information is integrated into the development process. Use this formalized process to achieve greater efficiencies in new product introductions and engineering changes.
    • Analyze pricing and promotion strategies
      • Adopt formal processes for analyzing prices and the financial return on marketing programs. Use the information to minimize overstocked products and slow moving inventory through targeted promotions.
Stages of Maturity on way Toward Supply Chain Planning Excellence
Benefits of Supply & Demand Planning
  • Take advantage of new revenue opportunities.
    • Provide a simple overview of the production process while avoiding the complexity and expense of full material requirements planning (MRP).
  • Know what’s in your inventory.
    • Calculate item availability and deliver on your promises using tools that give you real-time information about what is in the warehouse.
  • Provide more responsive customer service.
    • Constantly adapt your manufacturing methods and processes to reflect changing customer requirements.
  • Increase operational efficiency.
    • Use multiple planning options to satisfy demand while minimizing the total cost of producing and storing the items. Quickly adapt production to meet new demand with clear, graphical display of your production schedules.
  • Understand materials costs throughout the production process.
    • Make better pricing decisions with simultaneous re-planning of costs, materials, and operations when changes occur on the shop floor.

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